UPDATED: 10-13-25 17:46 PDT

cfp Utah St 1
  
Utah St               
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 88.3896

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Rob Morris 26-14 907 A USC B10 ( 6- 6, 95.1) 0-48 914 H Utah B12 ( 5- 7, 92.7) 21-38 921 A Temple American ( 3- 9, 87.5) 20-45 1005 A Boise State MW (12- 1, 98.2) 30-62 1011 H UNLV MW (10- 3, 95.0) 34-50 1019 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 7, 89.4) 45-50 1026 A Wyoming MW ( 3- 9, 89.6) 27-25 1109 A Wash St P12 ( 8- 4, 92.9) 28-49 1116 H Hawaii MW ( 5- 7, 89.5) 55-10 1123 H San Diego St MW ( 3- 9, 86.9) 41-20 1129 A Colorado St MW ( 8- 4, 92.0) 37-42

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   907 A USC                     0-48     -48    -8           0.00
   914 H Utah                   21-38     -17    -3          -1.59
   921 A Temple                 20-45     -25     0    --    -5.02
  1005 A Boise State            30-62     -32   -11           0.00
  1011 H UNLV                   34-50     -16    -6           0.00
  1019 H New Mexico             45-50      -5     0    --    -4.86
  1026 A Wyoming                27-25       2    -2    ++     4.10
  1109 A Wash St                28-49     -21    -5           0.00
  1116 H Hawaii                 55-10      45     0    ++     5.16
  1123 H San Diego St           41-20      21     2    +      2.64
  1129 A Colorado St            37-42      -5    -5          -0.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   921 A Temple                 20-45     -25     0    --    -5.02
  1019 H New Mexico             45-50      -5     0    --    -4.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1026 A Wyoming                27-25       2    -2    ++     4.10
  1116 H Hawaii                 55-10      45     0    ++     5.16
  1123 H San Diego St           41-20      21     2    +      2.64

Utah St Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Boston Col `   Boston Col `
California California tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) California
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke   Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami   Miami
UNC UNC   UNC
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Syracuse
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Va Tech   Va Tech
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Army Army insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Army
Charlotte Charlotte   Charlotte
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
Memphis Memphis   Memphis
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Navy
No Texas No Texas insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) No Texas
Rice Rice   Rice
So Florida So Florida   So Florida
Temple Temple Temple  
Tulane Tulane insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tulane
Tulsa Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
UAB Utah St   Utah St
UTSA UTSA insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) UTSA
Arizona Arizona Arizona   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Arizona St Arizona St insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Arizona St
BYU BYU insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) BYU
Baylor Baylor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado Colorado   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Houston Houston insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Houston
Iowa St Iowa St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Iowa St
Kansas Kansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St Oklahoma St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oklahoma St
TCU TCU insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Texas Tech
UCF UCF tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UCF
Utah Utah Utah  
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St   Michigan St
Minnesota Minnesota insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oregon
Penn St Penn St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Penn St
Purdue Purdue   Purdue
Rutgers Rutgers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rutgers
UCLA UCLA tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) UCLA
USC USC USC  
Washington Washington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wisconsin
Florida Intl Utah St   Utah St
Jacksonv. St Jacksonv. St   Jacksonv. St
Kennesaw St Utah St   Utah St
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
La Tech Utah St   Utah St
Middle Tenn Utah St   Utah St
NM St Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
SHouston St SHouston St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) SHouston St
UTEP Utah St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utah St
We Kentucky We Kentucky   We Kentucky
UMass Utah St   Utah St
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame
UConn UConn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) UConn
Akron Utah St   Utah St
Ball St Utah St   Utah St
Bowl. Green Bowl. Green   Bowl. Green
Buffalo Buffalo   Buffalo
Cen Michigan Utah St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Utah St
Ea Michigan Utah St   Utah St
Kent State Utah St   Utah St
MiamiOH MiamiOH   MiamiOH
No Illinois No Illinois   No Illinois
Ohio Ohio   Ohio
Toledo Toledo   Toledo
We Michigan We Michigan   We Michigan
Air Force Air Force insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Air Force
Boise State Boise State Boise State  
Colorado St Colorado St Colorado St  
Fresno St Fresno St insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Fresno St
Hawaii Utah St Utah St  
Nevada Nevada insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Nevada
New Mexico New Mexico New Mexico  
San Diego St Utah St Utah St  
San Jose St San Jose St tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) San Jose St
UNLV UNLV UNLV  
Wyoming Utah St Utah St  
Oregon St Oregon St Oregon St   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Wash St Wash St Wash St  
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Auburn Auburn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Auburn
Florida Florida   Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky   Kentucky
LSU LSU tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) LSU
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Miss St Utah St   Utah St
Oklahoma Oklahoma insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee   Tennessee
Texas Texas insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St App St   App St
Arkansas State Arkansas State   Arkansas State
Coastal Car Coastal Car insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Coastal Car
Georgia So Georgia So tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Georgia So
Georgia St Georgia St   Georgia St
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana Louisiana   Louisiana
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss Utah St   Utah St
So Alabama So Alabama   So Alabama
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Troy   Troy
La-Monroe La-Monroe   La-Monroe

PowerWise = 20


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A USC             ( 6- 6, 95.1)     0-48       -4.84      13.42       0.91         1.10            -4.33
   0 H Utah            ( 5- 7, 92.7)    21-38       -7.19      11.07      -0.91         1.10            -8.91
   0 A Temple          ( 3- 9, 87.5)    20-45      -12.44       5.82       0.91         1.10           -12.69
   0 A Boise State     (12- 1, 98.2)    30-62       -1.71      16.54       0.91         1.10            -0.89
   0 H UNLV            (10- 3, 95.0)    34-50       -4.88      13.38      -0.91         1.10            -6.37
   0 H New Mexico      ( 5- 7, 89.4)    45-50      -10.46       7.79      -0.91         1.10           -12.51
   0 A Wyoming         ( 3- 9, 89.6)    27-25      -10.31       7.94       0.91         1.10             9.73
   0 A Wash St         ( 8- 4, 92.9)    28-49       -6.95      11.30       0.91         1.10            -6.65
   0 H Hawaii          ( 5- 7, 89.5)    55-10      -10.44       7.81      -0.91         1.10             7.60
   0 H San Diego St    ( 3- 9, 86.9)    41-20      -12.97       5.29      -0.91         1.10             4.82
   0 A Colorado St     ( 8- 4, 92.0)    37-42       -7.85      10.40       0.91         1.10            -7.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -37.83

winning pts = 22.1598 losing points = -59.9930

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------